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Special Series

Stormwater Solutions: Curbing Toxic Runoff

11

In a Series

Fair Funding for Stormwater Cleanup

Posted by Lisa Stiffler
Supporting a polluter-pays approach to cleaning up stormwater.
Stormwater with rainbow sheenIt's a huge challenge to clean up the nasty water that gushes through gutters and into Washington's rivers and bays. But cleaning it is essential to reaching the region's goals for saving Puget Sound.

Legislation was just proposed in Olympia that takes an important step towards solving our stormwater woes. House Bill 3181 and Senate Bill 6851, called the "Clean Water Act of 2010," would boost a tax that's already added to petroleum, pesticides, and other chemicals that are fouling waterways from the Spokane River to Lake Chelan to the Duwamish River.

The tax hike is expected to raise about $225 million more a year. It would increase the current 0.7 percent tax for toxic chemicals to 2 percent. That might add a few pennies to a gallon of gas (see a great analysis of the tax in this post by Eric de Place), as well as a slight bump to pesticides and other dangerous chemicals that are covered by the state's Model Toxics Control Act.

The money collected would be used by cities, counties, and the state Department of Transportation to pay for projects that reduce and clean stormwater, and for other environmental projects. It also makes low-impact development -- the smartest, cheapest, and best way to deal with stormwater -- a priority for a portion of the funds raised.

Raising this tax is a well-reasoned strategy for addressing the state's sizable stormwater problems. Here's why. 

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Fewer Cars, Safer Mortgages

Posted by Clark Williams-Derry
A low-car neighborhood reduces the risk of mortgage default.

Interesting.  The Journal of Sustainable Real Estate recently accepted a paper showing that, after controlling for incomes, neighborhoods with low car ownership have fewer defaults on mortgages.  NRDC took a look at the findings, and concluded that...

...factors such as neighborhood compactness, access to public transit, and rates of vehicle ownership are key to predicting mortgage performance and should be taken more seriously by mortgage underwriters, policymakers, and real estate developers.

In their review, NRDC suggests a few reasons why neighborhood car ownership is so closely linked with mortgage defaults.  First, folks who live in transit-oriented neighborhoods face lower financial risks when gas prices spike -- which is just what they did in the runup to housing market collapse in 2008.  Second, homes in transit- and pedestrian-friendly locales retain their resale value better than homes in sprawling suburbs -- so mortgages are less likely to go "underwater," with homeowners owing more on their mortgages than the house is worth.  Third, all else being equal, homes in transit-oriented neighborhoods sell quickly -- so homeowners who can't make their mortgage payments can sell their homes rather than fall into default.

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Trading Places

Posted by Roger Valdez
Is there a market for trading energy efficiencies?

Trading Places Light Bulb MoneyWe’ve highlighted a couple of explanations of how cap and trade works. Essentially, cap and trade establishes a limit on carbon emissions and ramps them down over time by reducing the number of emissions permits that are available to polluters. Because the permits would represent a scare commodity (the right to emit carbon) they would result in a price on emissions, and therefore an incentive to reduce emissions. Would it be possible to apply a similar principle to energy efficiency; and would this help accelerate weatherization and retrofitting of buildings?

Permit trading has been tried with other pollution problems like acid rain. In my ongoing scan of the literature about realizing the promise of energy efficiencies, I couldn’t help but be drawn to an article by Tom Tietenberg called “Reflections—Energy Efficiency Policy: Pipe Dream or Pipeline to the Future?” I have asked myself the same question. The article is a good high-level and thoughtful review of many of the issues I have already written about like the need for financial incentives and better information to spur demand for energy retrofits. Tietenberg takes a look at an idea for creating an energy efficiency market called Transferable White Certificates (TWC). 

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Correcting the Oil Industry's Errors

Posted by Eric de Place

bad mathFlat out wrong. That's the only way to describe the oil industry's claims about a proposed increase to Washington's hazardous substance tax. Consider this ill-informed article at Washington State Wire:

[subhead] As Much as Six Cents a Gallon

The money has to come from somewhere, though – your local gas station, for instance. Opponents say the plan could raise gas prices as much as six cents a gallon, if oil companies can find a way to pass the full amount on to consumers. Because of the competitive nature of the oil business, refiners may have to eat some of the cost.

This is wrong -- obviously wrong -- on at least two counts. 1) It's bad math. 2) It's self-contradictory.

First, let's do the math. The current tax is 0.7 percent on the wholesale price of toxic substances, including gasoline and other refined petroleum products. A new bill would raise the tax to 2.0 percent.

Calculating the maximum impact on consumer gasoline prices is simple arithmetic. Assuming that the wholesale price of gasoline is $2.30 (roughly consistent with recent and current prices, as well as the near-term futures market) the calculation is simple: $2.30 x 0.7% = 1.6 cents. In other words, the current tax adds 1.6 cents to the price, at most.

Now let's calculate the proposed higher tax rate: $2.30 x 2.0% = 4.6 cents. In other words, the proposed higher tax rate could raise the tax amount to 4.6 cents.

The last step is so easy that even an oil lobbyist can do it: 4.6 cents - 1.6 cents = 3 cents. So, in reality, the proposal might increase prices by just 3 cents. Not 6 cents. 3 cents. The oil industry has wildly overstated the effect of the new tax. (It's an over-statement of 100 percent for math-inclined folks). The only way the oil industry claims could be accurate is if wholesale gasoline prices were about double what they actually are.

But it gets worse: the arguments from the oil industry are actually contradictory. Remember that they admit "refiners may have to eat some of the cost." In other words, even according to the oil guys, consumers won't pay the full cost of the tax anyway, because the refiners will pick up a portion of it. So the real impact on consumers is less than 3 cents.

The extent of "price pass-through" is a somewhat debateable subject. It's often assumed that gas taxes get fully passed on to consumers, but that may not be true. (And it's instructive that the oil industry apparently believes it's not true.) In fact, a 2004 article in the Journal of Economic Education makes a strong empirical case that gasoline excise taxes are not fully reflected in consumer prices -- meaning that producers and consumers share the cost of new taxes (and share the benefits of reduced taxes).

Still, one might wonder whether its fair for the oil industry and refiners to pay a higher tax rate on the import of hazardous substances into Washington. I'll leave that values question alone except to note one final thing. The tax increase helps pay for water cleanup. And while it's levied on all hazardous substances that harm water quality, not just on oil, petroleum products are, by volume, easily the largest pollutant in the runoff that fouls Puget Sound.



Special Series

Sustainababy: Born to be Green

14

In a Series

Safer Sippy Cups Coming to NW?

Posted by Lisa Stiffler
OR and WA lawmakers get closer to a limited ban on BPA.

Sippy cupNorthwest lawmakers finally appear swayed by the mounting evidence showing that bisphenol A, or BPA, is a threat to human health and that its use should be curtailed. BPA is a key ingredient in hard, clear, glasslike plastics, such as baby bottles.

Oregon lawmakers today began considering a ban on BPA in products used by children under the age of three, including baby bottles and sippy cups and the lining of baby-food containers.

Washington lawmakers are pursuing a similar BPA ban. The Senate last week approved a bill barring BPA in kid's food items alone, while a measure approved by the House also included a ban on BPA in sports bottles. Now all the two chambers have to do is reconcile their differences. (Governor Gregoire is expected to sign the bill.)

Canada last year decided to ban BPA. The government is considering further ways to limit its use.

Oregon and Washington both have pursued limits on BPA in the past. So what's changed in 2010? In January, the US Food and Drug Administration reversed its stance that BPA was safe to people at current levels of exposure. It now has adopted an opinion in line with the National Toxicology Program (a division of the National Institutes of Health).

The National Toxicology Program way back in September 2008 ruled that there was reason to be concerned about BPA harming human health -- namely people's behavior, brain, and prostate gland -- and particularly when it came to exposure to fetuses, babies, and children. Other research links early exposure to the chemical with obesity and reproductive problems later in life.

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Special Series

Seattle's Great Viaduct Debate

36

In a Series

The Bored Tunnel's $60 Million Cost Increase

Posted by Eric de Place
A 3 percent overrun on an expensive project could be pricey.

$60 million isn't chump change, but it didn't get much notice last month when the state released new cost estimates for Seattle's deep-bore tunnel. According to the revised numbers, the deep-bore tunnel cost projections have already risen by $60 million -- which works out to 3.2 percent. And that's before builders have broken ground.

What was sold to the public -- and approved by the legislature -- as a $1.9 billion tunneling project is now projected to cost $1.96 billion. If that increase seems miniscule, it's only because the scale of the project is so huge. Consider:

  • $60 million is more than the entire budget shortfall for the city of Seattle.
  • If Seattle residents picked up the tab directly, it would work out to roughly $400 for a family of four.

And remember, these figures are not for the cost of the entire deep-bore tunnel project, but just for the latest, seemingly tiny, cost increase of about 3 percent. And it's troubling, especially in light of the somewhat perplexing attitude that state leaders have taken so far.

"I don't think we're going to have overruns." -- State House Transportation Chairwoman Judy Clibborn quoted in the Seattle Times on April 24, 2009.

"There won't be any cost overruns." -- State Transportation Secretary Paula Hammond quoted in the Seattle Times on April 29, 2009.

"We don't envision any cost overruns on this project." -- Pearse Edwards, spokesman for Gov. Chris Gregoire quoted in the Seattle Times on April 22, 2009.

So now that there is a $60 million cost increase, will state leaders renew their pledges that costs will not rise further?

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520: Your Way on the Highway

Posted by Eric Hess
An alternative vision for 520.

There’s been a lot of talk recent about a replacement for the 520 bridge over Lake Washington. We produced this video a few years back imagining what 520 might look like with more transit. Have a look.


One thing that’s clear to us: any new 520 configuring should accommodate a variety of transportation choices.



Heavens to BETC

Posted by Roger Valdez
Oregon's legislature considers improvements to landmark Business Energy Tax Credit.

Blowing in the Wind WindmillsTomorrow Oregon’s legislators are considering changes to the Business Energy Tax Credit (BETC), a program that has made Oregon’s energy policies the envy of the Northwest. We've written about some of the twists and turns in the discussion about BETC has taken over the last year.

BETC has really put Oregon on the clean energy map. Any changes should focus on strengthening BETC. Sightline has outlined how the legislature can uphold Oregon’s commitment to leadership in the clean energy economy.

Sightline recommends that the legislature:

  • Keep BETC strong by committing to a significant level of tax credits.
  • Extend the sunset of credits, ideally through the end of 2016.
  • Build in accountability with a “claw back” provision.

Download Sightline’s two-pager, “A Better BETC: Improving Oregon’s Business Energy Tax Credit

BETC is among the most innovative and effective job-creators in the Northwest’s energy sector. As businesses consider efficiency and renewable energy projects, Oregon should encourage smart, new investments. Please forward it along.

 



Special Series

Sustainababy: Born to be Green

13

In a Series

Fish for Thought

Posted by Anna Fahey
Fish and babies' brains: The catch-22.

Editor's Note: Anna wrote this post (and several others) before leaving on maternity leave. She gave birth to a healthy baby girl in December.

GillnettersTo eat fish, or not? If you’re pregnant, nursing, or even thinking about becoming pregnant, it’s a Catch-22. Seafood is the best possible source of the long-chain omega-3 fatty acid DHA, which is critical for a baby's brain and eye development, both in utero and in the “fourth trimester,” while the baby is nursing and the brain is still developing. But there’s a catch: seafood contains contaminants that can be harmful to babies—particularly methylmercury, which can harm the developing nervous system, causing subtle deficits in language, memory, motor skills, perception, and behavior.

So for a pregnant woman, the decision whether to eat fish is now freighted with consequences.  Eat fish, and you're putting your baby's brain at risk of from toxic contaminants.  Skip fish, and you're denying your baby's brain of crucial nourishment. 

Pregnant and nursing women never asked to make this choice. 

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The Crash in Car Crashes

Posted by Clark Williams-Derry
High gas prices led to declines in road fatalities.

Roger's post on car crashes a few weeks back got me to thinking:  what are the local car crash trends looking like, in an era of expensive gas?

And as it turns out, the trends are looking good!!  The state of Washington recently released fatality statistics for 2008, and their figures show a sharp dip in fatality rates in the past few years.  As the chart to the right shows, crash fatality rates have been on the decline for decades; but the decline has actually accelerated in the past few years. (Data are here, in table E8, in case you're interested; and they're "age adjusted" to compare apples to apples each year.)

The same thing is happening in British Columbia, by the way.  The data I've found (click here for an Excel spreadsheet) aren't directly comparable to Washington's, and only go back through 1986 and stop in 2007.  But the province has experienced a similar "crash" in car crash risk.

This is all good news:  car crashes have long been the leading killer of people under 40 in this part of the world, and any dip is welcome.  Of course, the time we spend behind the wheel remains some of the riskiest we spend all day -- and our total risk goes up for every mile we drive.  But the fact that cars are still dangerous shouldn't keep us from celebrating a decline in motor vehicle fatalities.

As far as I can tell, there are at least two separate trends in play here.  First, driving is getting safer. And second -- measured per person, at least -- we're driving less

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Special Series

The Dirt on Coal

05

In a Series

Boardman Looks to Biomass

Posted by Jennifer Langston
How much wood would a coal plant burn?
Arundo donaxThe Oregonian had an informative story this weekend about the prospects for converting the Boardman coal-fired power plant to burn "biomass" from plants. Many utilities are looking at replacing some fraction of their coal with plant material as a way of reducing emissions, but few have proposed anything on the ambitious scale that Portland General Electric is considering. (The utility recently announced that it would seek to either shut down the state’s only coal-fired power plant in 2020 - about two decades earlier than planned - or convert it to run entirely on an alternative fuel.)

So what kinds of plants might a former coal plant burn? The utility is looking at using wood pellets that are used in home heating stoves, which might optimistically replace 20 percent of the coal Boardman now consumes. The rest of the fuel, PGE hopes, might come from plants that are roasted at high temperatures until they resemble something like charcoal.

It's still an experimental technology. And it remains to be seen whether PGE could get its hands on enough plant material to fuel a 585 MW power plant (about 15 percent of the energy serving its current customers.) One of the leading prospects is a tall fast-growing cane called Arundo donax that's also used to make reeds for oboes and clarinets. It's partial to riverbanks, sucks up a lot of water, and has become a nettlesome invasive weed in other states. But, according to the Oregonian story, the utility believes it could be farmed safely.

Still, Oregon farmers would apparently need to grow about 90,000 irrigated acres of the giant cane to serve Boardman's needs. That's more than all the irrigated farmland planted in food crops today in the northeastern Oregon county where the power plant is located. Needless to say, that’s a lot of giant cane, which raises big questions about whether Oregon's farmers would embrace a new crop on such a large scale.

But that’s just one of many puzzles that the utility, regulators, power consumers and other stakeholders will be working through in the next few months, as Oregon's Public Utility Commission decides the fate of PGE's proposed long-range power plan.

Arundo donax photo courtesty of flickr user Valter Jacinto via the Creative Commons license.

Read more about the Northwest's energy future in Sightline's special series: The Dirt on Coal.



Special Series

Stormwater Solutions: Curbing Toxic Runoff

10

In a Series

Get Your Mind Out of the Gutter

Posted by Lisa Stiffler
Curbing stormwater while trimming the bottom line.

Green roofFor years, environmentalists have touted "low-impact development" -- letting soil and vegetation soak up heavy rains, rather than channeling storm runoff into gutters and sewers -- as the best solution for stormwater. But as it turns out, LID has picked up a whole host of new fans: smart economists, developers, builders, and government regulators are now singing LID's praises as well.

The fundamental principle of low-impact development is that it's better -- both for people's pocketbooks and for streams -- to prevent storm runoff than it is to treat it. That means building green roofs and rain gardens, installing rain barrels and cisterns, and using porous concrete and pavers. The conventional alternative is building an elaborate and expensive system of concrete storm sewers that funnel stormwater, as well as the trash and toxics it picks up, into streams, lakes, and bays.  

And recent studies from around North America show that the principle has promise: real-world evidence shows that LID is, in fact, a cheaper way to handle stormwater, and it does so without the flooding risk or the damage to marine life, that the conventional approach to stormwater often carries with it.

Take, for example, this 2005 study by researchers from the University of Southern California and the University of California, Los Angeles. They point to a previous study, which had estimated that it would cost a whopping $284 billion, and require building 65 drinking-water treatment plants, to clean the filthy torrents streaming off of LA's highways and rooftops. But the researchers concluded that LID, coupled with related strategies, could deal with stormwater in the sprawling metropolis at a cost of $3 billion to $7 billion -- treating stormwater at pennies on the dollar, compared with the conventional approach.

Seattle Public Utilities has done some number crunching of its own. The utility found that using LID, or what they call "natural drainage systems," to retrofit streets in need of stormwater treatment that the city spent $325,000 per block, compared to $425,000 if they had built traditional storm-drain-and-pipes infrastructure. 

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Special Series

Sustainababy: Born to be Green

12

In a Series

Which Northwest City Wins the Baby Game?

Posted by Anna Fahey
Where do Northwest cities rank when it comes to healthy birth options?

Editor's Note: Anna wrote this post (and several others) before she left on maternity leave. She gave birth to a healthy baby girl in December.

Baby in StrollerWhen Fit Pregnancy Magazine set out to rank the best cities in America to have a baby, they found that Northwest cities did surprisingly well: they ranked Portland number one, while Seattle landed the number four spot. (Minneapolis came in second, San Fran third.)

So why did Portland take the cake? The Oregon metropolis does well on healthy food, walkable neighborhoods, lots of birth options, and solid breastfeeding numbers.

Here’s the rundown:

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Special Series

Green-Collar Jobs: Realizing the Promise

30

In a Series

Clean Energy Working in Portland

Posted by Roger Valdez
Innovative financing starts showing some results.

Clean Energy Working in Portland People I was in Olympia again yesterday tracking the progress of the Energy Efficiency Financing Act, a bill being considered by the Washington State Legislature. The legislation would make it easier for local governments to create innovative financing for energy efficiency retrofits in the residential sector.

Improving financing options would stoke demand for retrofits and lead to more jobs in the energy efficiency sector.  One of the examples I have used is Clean Energy Works in Portland. Here is a video created by Green For All highlighting Clean Energy Works' recent progress on green collar job creation.

The prospects for current legislation in Washington are promising and we will continue to keep an eye on the progress of that bill and others affecting energy efficiency financing.



Teen Pregnancy: Too Little Data, Too Late

Posted by Clark Williams-Derry
Without data, policymakers are flying blind.

The latest headline:  teen births in the US are on the rise!

I'm going to spare you a diatribe on abstinence-only education -- except to note that these figures confirm the abundant research showing that abstinence-only ed programs are almost comically ineffective.

No, the important thing to note here is this:  here we are in 2010, and the latest teen birth data we've got is for 2006.  That's right, we had to wait for 3 full years, and then some, just to get some reliable numbers on a deeply important social indicator.

This, to me, is clear evidence that we're simply not serious about teen birth rates.  Sure, we do a lot of hand wringing about "babies having babies."  Yet we haven't bothered to set up a system to monitor whether our efforts to delay teen childbearing are working.  Look, teen births just aren't that hard to track. But at the national level at least, we simply haven't bothered to track them.

And as a result, we've got a 3-year delay on a lagging indicator of a failed social policy -- and a lot of policymakers who are flying blind.



 
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